Trump, China, and the Republicans

The Republican Party has been the party most supportive of free trade in American politics for half a century. President Donald Trump, who is Republican, holds different stance from his on trade. We assess how Trump's China tariffs mid-2018 impacted performance its midterm house elections later that year. construct measure each county's exposure to and merge with share votes county. find counties heavily exposed were more their candidates. This association stronger causal previously voted Democratic politicians. Party, despite losing majority house, would have lost seats without tariffs.